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Junior Dos Santos vs Derrick Lewis


Former champion Junior Dos Santos meets fan favourite Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis. After a run that saw him drop from the top of the división with knockout losses to Alistair Overeem and then champ Stipe Miocic, Dos Santos enters this fight fresh of two wins against Blagoy Ivanov and Tai Tuivasa, who he stopped rather easily in his last outing. Lewis comes from a failed tittle shot in which he was submitted easily by Daniel Cormier. Before that he was on a good run that saw him knock out Marcyn Tibura, outpoint francis N´Gannou and take out Volkov in one of the most celebrated knockouts of the year.
This is not a difficult fight to break down. Junior Dos Santos is by far the better athlete and probably the best boxer in the division. He packs a good punch and can effectively use countering takedowns, specially against less athletic heavyweights than him if he feels the need to do it, though he rarely does. Once a force to be reckoned with, his chin is nowadays suspect after taking two horrendous beatings at the hands of Cain Velasquez back in the day. He was one punch bombed in his losses to Overeem and Miocic, bothe lesser punchers than Lewis.
Derrick Lewis comes into the ring to find one shot and knock you out. As simple as that. He is big, strong and hits like hammer. He will be the bigger fighter here. Although he has sometimes been hurt, he has a good chin and even though his takedown defense is average he is so strong that he simply just gets up when taken down. His cardio has always being horrible but the threat of his right hand keeps people honest and him in the fight. Dos Santos could probably pound him a little on the ground if he decided to mix takedowns here, but it is a remote possibility. This fight will mot definitely be fought on the feet and Dos Santos will try to play the matador, outboxing Lewis for a late stoppage or a decision win. However, Lewis only needs to land once to change or even finish this fight, and he has 25 minutes to do so. Mixing it up with Lewis is always dangerous, specially if he is not concerned with takedowns, and Dos Santos does not have the lenght Volkov used to outjab Lewis safely for most of their fight. Oddsmakers have Dos Santos as an almost 3 to 1 favourite here. The pick here is Lewis finds the shot and folds Junior Dos Santos somewhere in the middle rounds, maybe after enduring some good punishment himsef, causing the upset.