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Alex White vs Dan Moret

Alex White VS Dan Moret

In the opening bout of the night, Alex White and Dan Moret meet at lightweight, both in need of a win. White lost decisively last time inside one round against veteran Jim Miller, while Moret got a though cookie for his UFC debut in the form of Gilbert Burns, who knocked him out cold in two rounds.
Alex White is a low level gatekeeper in the UFC. His best attribute is a respectable striking game. Even though not very technical, he is crisp and poweful and can counter well. His grappling has been a big concern during his UFC run and he is 2-5 in his last seven, only earning a decision against much smaller Artem Lobov and a knockout against aging veteran Mitch Clarke. He has been soundly outgrappled numerous times and his takedown defense, specially from the clinch, leaves much to be desired.
Enter Dan Moret. A very agressive fighter, he moves forward striking with the intention of implementing his submission oriented grappling game. He is 6-2 in his last 8, having been knocked out in those two losses but they came against two monsters in Gilbert Burns and Raoni Barcelos. He has submitted 4 of his 6 opponents during that run, the only two going to decision being the never finished Josh Wick, a decent grappler himself, and prospect Alex Gilpin, who is 12-1 nowadays.
How is this fight gonna play out? If White defuses Moret´s takedown attemps he probably pieces him up on the feet and even stops him. I do not think he will. Moret will come out to grapple agressively right from the opening bell, dragging White down and working his way to a submission. Moret by submission is the pick here, well worth taking the risk as everything over (+400) offers great value. Oddsmakers lined White the clear favourite but line has now tightened up and Moret stands the slight dog. Line may get to even closer to fight time.