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Grant Dawson vs Julian Erosa

Grant Dowson VS Julian Erosa

After getting a dominant win at Dana White´s Contender series and then enduring a USADA suspension, Grant Dawson finally makes his UFC debut against fighting veteran Julian “Juicy” Erosa, who has fought all over the place.
Grant Dawson is a grappler. Simple as that. He uses his striking just to close the distance as safely as possible, then implements a takedown heavy approach to take a dominant position and work from there. He has finished all his wins, with 9 submissions out of 12 victories. However, he was knocked out by elbows when attempting a takedown quite easily and he has been hurt by lesser opponents in the regional circuit. His chin is certainly suspect. He will look to take Erosa down here and grind him down until an opportunity to finish presents itself.
Talking about suspect chins, enter Julian Erosa. He earned a contract right after participating in The Ultimate Fighter, where he was notoriously knocked out by Artem Lobov. He is very tal and lanky for the featherweight division. In his last fight he was taken out easily inside one round, but it was a short notice fight at lightweight against a huge puncher in Devonte Smith. If the UFC calls you answer. Took the gamble and got sparked. Even though his chin is suspect, Erosa is a competent and quite dangerous striker at featherweight where he does his best work. He also boasts a good ground game, with 9 submissions to his game and never submitted himself. He stopped all submission attemps from Paddy Pimblett in a 5 round affair he should have won on the scorecards for the Cage Warriors championship. His plan in this fight will surely be to strike with Dawson, and if he gets taken down he woill try to pop back up inmediately.
Given those two record, FDGTD seems a very good bet here. Oddsmakers line Dawson as the favourite but I think the value is on Erosa. Would not surprise me if Dawson run over him but I think Juicy J is gonna be able to keep this fight on the feet and find a knockout over the chinny Dawson to cause the upset. Erosa by KO/TKO anywhere between (+400) and (+500) is a very valuable prop in this fight.