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Louis Smolka vs Matt Schnell

Luis Smolka VS Matt Schnell

“Da Last Samurai” from Hawai and Matt Schnell meet in which may end up being a highly technical fight.
Smolka once looked like he was destined towards tittle contention at flyweight with a four win streak, but his alcohol problems resulted in a four fight skid and being cut from the UFC. After winning three straight he resigned and dominated dangerous chinese striker Su Mudaerji in his last fight. Smolka is a mediocre striker. Tall and lanky, he is the owner of a very respectable grappling game and he always looks for takedowns to start implementing it. He has finished thirteen out of his fifteen wins, most by submission or ground and pound from dominant position.
Matt Schnell is a borderline UFC caliber fighter in my opinion. He is also a mediocre striker. In his last fight he barely outpointed Young prospect and fellow grappler Naoki Inoue on the feet. He owns a respectable grappling game himself, but has lost every decisively every time he has faced a superior fighter. Rob Font straight destroyed him inside one round, whereas Smolka is yet to be knocked out. How does Schnell win this fight? Probably by repeating his last performance he has a chance of getting a decision again, and if he can get some takedowns and top control time, which has been always a problem for Smolka with his questionable takedown defense, it would help his interests.
I see Smolka winning this fight. I consider him the better grappler. He is a wonderful scrambler and flows effortleslly between positions, and he could himself get takedowns without much difficulty given the fact that Matt´s takedown defense is also questionable and he does not pose much of a finishing threat on the feet. With Matt being finished in three of his four losses and Smolka´s finishing ability once he has established dominant position, the pick here is Smolka to win inside the distance, via submission or possibly pounding a helpless Schnell on the ground. Smolka should outgrapple him in this fight for the win.