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Omari Akhmedov vs Tim Boetsch

Tim Boetsch VS Omari Akhmedov

In the middleweight division, UFC action fighter veteran Tim “The Barbarian” Boetsch faces Dagestani Omari Akhmedov. Ahkmedov moved up from welterweight after enduring knockout losses to Zaleski Dos Santos and Sergio Moraes. If Sergio Moraes knocks you out something is going wrong and his gas tank was very limited there, and even though he won his following two he decided to make the jump.
Akhmedov is the generic Daguestani fighter. Strong and a good grappler, he does everything well but nothing exceptional. He tends to fade late in fights and his wins are almost an equal mix of knockouts, submissions and decisions. He is agressive with his fighting style and that may be related to his gas tank usually depleting late. In his last fight he earned a draw against Marvin Vettori, in which he took a lot of punishment. Most felt the decision should have gone to the Italian.
Tim Boetsch has been in there with almost everybody over the years. Even though he is clearly not an athlete, he is strong as an ox and packs a huge punch. He has had problems with superior grapplers historically and if Akhmedov can get a dominant position early he might be in trouble. Boetsch is primarily a puncher who looks to find the knockout shot or works toward depleting the opponent until the opportunity to put him away presents itself. He might be damaged goods, as he has endured many wars during his career and is approaching 40 years of age. At 38 he is already talking about retiring.
I think Boetsch is gonna win this fight by knockout, maybe late finishing a tired Omari, but the line at around (+180) certainly does not do it for me. He has shown to be vulnerable too, and with all Akhmedov losses coming inside the distance and Tim´s last ten fights not seeing a decision FDGTD is the bet here at a decent price.