In an intriguing fight two interesting 145 pounders meet for a chance to climb the rankings. Allen comes from a submission over Mads Burnell in a fight in which he had been thoroughly dominated everywhere over three rounds, while Rinaldi completely dominated Jason Knight in his last contest after coming down from lightweight.
Allen is a young powerhouse with an outstanding physique. He is a decent striker with some power and is comfortable everywhere as he showed in his contest with Amirkhani. He has some respectable power in his hands and a good chin of his own.
Rinaldi is a grappler. His striking is pretty much erratic and he uses it to set up entries from where to implement his grappling game. He is a high level Jiu Jitsu black belt with very good control, scrambling and postional awareness. He is also a dangerous submission artist, but he will not compromise his position in favour of a submission in most cases. Position over submission. He is huge at featherweight and seems to have no problem with the weight cut.
How does this play out? If it stays on the feet, Allen wins the fight and maybe even hurts Rinaldi for the knockout at some point. Rinaldi will no doubt try to drag Allen down to win rounds and search for a choke. I think Jordan is going to be able to do it, judging by the way Burnell was able to repeatedly take down Allen without being the most explosive wrestler, and the fact that Rinaldi had little trouble doing the same to Jason Knight. Allen found himself controlled in that fight and I suspect Rinaldi is better than Burnell at establishing control and passing to gain mount or back position. Once there it is almost impossible to get rid of him.
The pick here is Rinaldi to win at dog money, and a play on Rinaldi by submission makes sense. Odds are great and if Rinaldi is winning the fight it means he is on top of Allen which would spell trouble for the young man. Rinaldi sinks in the rear naked choke here for the win.