“Hannibal” Silva meets “Hot Chocolate” Roberts. The quintaessential striker vs grappler matchup. This fight is not difficult at all to break down. We last saw Silva submitting Nordine Taleb inside one round after a long layoff due to injuries. He is basically undefeated in his career as his only loss came in his debut via disqualification, although he may be past his prime by now. Danny Roberts has alternated big wins an big losses inside the octagon. He is a decent fighter everywhere but primarily a striker with a kickboxing style. Quite athletic, his striking is good and he is dangerous when he finds a good rythm. He has stopped twelve opponents in sixteen wins and has been stopped himself in all three losses. His loss to Mike Perry was specially brutal.

Enter Claudio Silva. Awful striker, swings for the fences until he can find a clinch or a takedown entry from where he can begin to implement his grappling game. A very high level Jiu Jitsu black belt, if he ends up on top you have a problem. There is no secret about his gameplan here. He will march forward and try to put Roberts down to find a submission as early as possible.

If the fight goes to the matt, Silva wins it and probably submits Roberts. If it stays standing, Roberts is gonna piece him up most probably. How is this gonna play out? I see two very important factors here. Number one, Silva uses single leg takedowns primarily to get opposition down and Roberts has been susceptible to them in the past. Number two, I have seen Roberts too happy about scrambling and playing on the matt to like him here. In his last fight he risked too much on the ground against a probably superior grappler in David Zawada.

The pick here is Claudio Silva to win by submission. This prop is ranked at a very poor (-105) and offers little value. As both contestants have clear ways to finish, the logical play for this fight is fight does not go to decision.