After a long layoff, Duffy returns to meet once highly touted prospect Diakiese in a pivotal fight for the latter. We last saw Duffy stopped by James Vick in two rounds, while Diakase has dropped his last three octagon appearances.
Duffy is a well rounded fighter, well known for beating McGregor in their early regional scene days. He is a better grappler than he is a striker, but he does not chase the grappling with urgency. He likes to use his boxing oriented stance from which he uses the ocassional kick too in search for an opening to hurt the opponent or simply win rounds by pressuring. His UFC wins have come against low level fighters or veterans like Mitch Clarke, while he was soundly beaten by Dustin Poirier and James Vick.
Diakiese entered the UFC with an aura of top prospect and future title contender. After an impressive first three fights against low level opposition, he found himself in bad style matchups that he lost. He cannot cope very well with high level wrestlers or strikers, but he does everything well enough to compete with anybody and he is stupidly explosive and athletic. He has some power too, and is technical enough to get offensive takedowns when he needs them against non specialists.
Oddsmakers have Duffy the favourite here at almost three to one, which I think is an off line. Duffy is not a powerhouse by any means, not an elite wrestler and no killer on the feet, which means Diakase is very live here. While Duffy clearly has the better ground game between them, I think Diakiese packs the bigger punch. I feel Marc can keep this fight standing if he wants too and do well enough on the feet, and even hurt Duffy at some point. He probably can also mix some takedowns to get control time and steal rounds on top. I like the value on Diakiese as the dog to cause the big upset here and save his UFC contract. A poke on Diakase by knockout seems a good move too.