A former Ultimate Fighter sensation, Luis Pena enters this fight against though fight circuit veteran Peterson after dropping a questionable decision against Mike Trizano in the finals. Peterson last bested Matt Bessette in a three round war.
Pena is dropping to featherweight for this fight, but at 6´3 feet tall it is a risky move. He has failed to make weight, but fight will still go on. He will presumably have a huge size advantadge over Peterson on Saturday. Peterson has fought at bantamweight in the past.
Pena is a lanky and crisp striker, but his main strenght is his grappling. He has a decent wrestling background and his Jiu Jitsu is quite good. Peterson is a brawler. He has some grappling skills of his own, but he is primarily a forward marching fighter that will eat everything thrown his way and keep returning fire until he sucks the will out of his opponents.
A lot of people are calling the upset here. I disagree. If Peterson can keep it standing up there is a good possibility he could drag Pena and his presumably shorter gas tank into deep waters after that though weight cut, but I think the gap in skill and size is gonna be too much to overcome. I see Pena taking him down and managing to establish a dominant position from where to start working toward a finish. The pick here is Pena to win by submission.